Wayne Allyn Root – Las Vegas Odds Maker Predicts Historic Romney Landslide

Wayne Allyn Root is an entrepreneur and a successful Las Vegas odds maker. He was a classmate of Barack Obama at Columbia University, both studying political science and pre-law. Root was on the 2008 Libertarian vice-presidential ticket with former Congressman Bob Barr. He is predicting a Romney landslide in November.

Wayne Allyn Root

Question of the day:

“Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?”

Wayne Allyn Root:

Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.

Neither Obama nor Romney are my horses in the race. I believe both Republicans and Democrats have destroyed the U.S. economy and brought us to the edge of economic disaster. My vote will go to Libertarian Presidential candidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most fiscally conservative track record of any Governor in modern U.S. political history. Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or Ron Paul, I don’t believe it’s possible to turnaround America.

But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But on election day, Romney will win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. Thirty-two years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?

First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct: not one American who voted for McCain four years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama four years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.

Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:

*Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.

*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida). This is not good news for Obama.

*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama’s Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for Obama.

*Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.

*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.

*Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I’m a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40 percent of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business…that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way…that he’d overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can’t find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.

*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.

*Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception…it’s having a job to pay for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.

*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.

Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama four years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?

Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It’s Reagan-Carter all over again.

But I’ll give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt. Source: Wayne Allyn Root writing at The Blaze

Tip of the Maggie Mae to my next-to-the-littlest-brother

Linked at Reaganite Republican – thanks RR!

Linked at BadBluethe baddest news on the planet!

Linked at SENTRY JOURNAL in the Take Back Liberty edition – thank you John!

Linked at Grumpy Opinions – many thanks!

Linked at Adrienne’s Corner – thank you!

Linked at Economic Noise – thanks!

Linked at SodaHead – thanks!

  • He is right but with Jewish voters right now they are at 49% for him. While they won’t vote for Romney, they will vote for Bugs Bunny. And a vote for Bugs Bunny is NOT a vote for Obama.

    If this holds true, then we will be rid of King Barry in Novembr.

    • Ran

      Interesting. Our Orthodox shuls here in the mid-west are shifting Romney: Partly because of Obama’s Israel blundering and partly because of an increasing libertaran-conservatism. I’m seeing 50-50 shifted from 75-25 four years ago.

      What’s really surprising is the shift in the traditionally statist-progressive Reform temples here: Women especially – joining the NRA, hitting conservative websites, volunteering for Republican Jewish Coalition, etc. Its not as large a swing as in the Orthodox community, but is new in this generation.

  • One can only hope …

  • This analysis makes sense. It seems Obama has no way to go but down with many voting groups. I’m sure he will retain the support of radical gays and the Occupy hippies hoping for “wealth redistribution” (from us to them).

    I look forward to November with hope and optimism.

  • testy

    Wayne Allen Root is a small time talk-radio host and failed Vegas Gambler.

    He is the same as the other Neocon radio hosts who demand ‘small govt’ and ‘a end to govt spending’ in between their only commercial sponsors who are marketing taxpayer-paid Medicare and Medicade supplies to the shut-in Old people who are their only shrinking audience.
    Either that pays the bills for these scoundrels or free-govt scooters for obese Social Security recipients, herbal penis enlargement pills, herbal viagra, “pay us to make the IRS go away” commercials, or buy-gold-at-300%-markup-over-spot-price sponsor scams..

    He has failed at almost everything he has ever tried except getting stupid people to give him money for PYRAMID SCHEMES. What you find is that people who make a living offering to “sell you their advice” are always scammers of one sort of another,
    because if they had the predictive abilities they claim to possess, they would not need to find morons to sell their ‘advice services’ to – they would already be rich.
    The only way to prove your advice is truly accurate and reliable is to promise to leave the ‘advice/pundit/media’ sphere if you are proven to be wrong. These shysters never go away once they are proven wrong, but instead forget all about their inaccuracy and show up next season promising more (failed and wrong) advice.
    Sean Hannity would be off the air if he had any such integrity after promising that the media polls were ‘lying’ and being manipulated falsely by the liberal media on his radio show before the 2008 Obama win. He said over and over that the polls were lies and they were being faked, he had inside information on this and could not disclose its source.. but he knew this special information that no one else did.
    When the voting was over, the results, unlike Hannitys pundit-promise, showed the pre-election polling was exactly correct, and Hannity was 100% wrong.

    Obama is the worst president to ever sit in the oval office, and a wannabe dictator, but the way to deal with that is not to listen to fake/false promises from scammers whose media empire is run off of getting old people on medicaid to order 9 thousand dollar electric scooters at taxpayer expense or pimping worthless herbal arthritis snake-oil cream to trusting elderly dupes they have ensnared.

    I will start listening to these scamming pundits who have put us in the mess we are now in when they promise to retire from the media/politics forever when they are proven substantially wrong. Obama could be easily beaten by ANY populist american candidate, but not by useless global-trade scammers and flip-floppers who agree to do whatever the Israeli Likud want while telling americans their jobs are better off in China. THAT is the reason Obama not only has a chance, but a good chance due to the lack of any actual populist alternative.

    • Ran

      “Failed,” you claim? That “failure” and “small-time” entrepreneur probably enjoys 100 times your gross worth, and he’s added value earning it and employed more people in one year doing it than you will have in your lifetime.

      Also, you might want to avoid discussing “integrity” at the same time you use the term “shyster” … it rather illustrates the reason for the income, productivity and success discrepancies. Like Truth, Intelligence will out, yes?

  • Sounds good- place yer bets!

  • Pingback: Teeing it up: A Round at the LINKs (Take Back Liberty edition) | SENTRY JOURNAL()

  • BTW, linked at my place~

  • Pingback: Maggie’s Notebook | Grumpy Opinions()

  • GoneWithTheWind

    He might be right. But did he take into account that there are a handful of swing states in play and the Democrats are best known for stealing elections. I predict the Democrats will steal this right under our noses and the media will act like the three wise monkeys and won’t see it hear it or speak about it. Right now while we are all feeling good about the chances of removing Obama from the presidency the democrats and their union buddies are laying the groundwork to steal the election. I wouldn’t count any chickens yet…

  • Ed Wallis

    Predicting a Romney landslide, but promising to throw away a vote during a/the most critical election in decades on a 3rd Party candidate?! Sounds like the fellow, for all his prattling about the importance of liberty, doesn’t take it seriously enough to vote to dethrone the tyrant. HOLLOW WORDS.

  • Well La De Freakin Dah! Good for him, I believe Romney will win, of whom I am all for 100%. Root should shut up with talking about other candidates he likes, and stick to the plan that is already in place. HOLLOW WORDS, is right! Root just wants his 15 min. of fame. . . TOTAL IDIOT in throwing away a vote, WTF is that?

  • May Root’s winning streak continue!

  • Ronald J. Ward

    Is Wayne Allyn Root accepting bets?
    It’s interesting that he completely left out Citizens United as well as Voter ID and voter purging in his assessment. Those issues will have more influence than anything else in Romney unseating president Obama.

  • Pingback: Monty Pelerin's World » Oddsmaker Sees Obama in Landslide Loss()